Augsburg’s home form points to a cautious contest against Union Berlin

Published on: 23 October 2026

Augsburg host Union Berlin in the seventh round of the Bundesliga on 24 October 2026, with the visitors arriving after keeping two consecutive clean sheets. Augsburg are favourites with the bookmakers, but recent meetings at the WWK ARENA suggest the game could produce few goals.

Augsburg have collected eight points from their opening six league matches, recording two wins, two draws and two defeats. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 12, leaving them 10th in the table and three points clear of the relegation play-off places.

However, Augsburg are currently without a victory in four Bundesliga matches. They drew 2-2 with Bayer and Bayern Munich, before losing 3-2 to Werder Bremen and 4-3 to Elversberg. Michael Gregoritsch is their leading scorer in the competition, with four goals.

The statistical summary for the fixture also states that the hosts have failed to win their previous five matches. That figure differs from the four-game league run outlined above, but both records point to a team struggling to turn performances into victories.

Union Berlin

Union Berlin have not conceded in either of their last two Bundesliga games. They began that sequence with a 1-0 home win against Elversberg, then drew 0-0 with Borussia Dortmund in their next match.

The Berlin side had only 37% possession against Borussia Dortmund, did not register a shot on target and recorded an expected-goals figure of 0.80. Despite securing a clean sheet and a point, Union Berlin were sitting 17th in the table at the time of the prediction, with five points from six matches.

They were level with Paderborn and Schalke on points and ranked below both only on additional tie-breaking criteria.

Union Berlin have lost three of their six previous matches, while the clubs’ recent head-to-head record favours the visitors. They have won two of the teams’ last three meetings and have not lost any of those three encounters. The most recent match between them ended in a 4-0 victory for Union Berlin.

Prediction

The recent results at Augsburg offer support for a low-scoring selection. In the four previous matches between these sides played on Augsburg’s ground, the total exceeded 2.5 goals only once.

With Augsburg winless across their recent run and Union Berlin having tightened their defence in the past two matches, the prediction is for fewer than 2.5 goals.

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